London, Ont. | Reuters — Canada is talking tough with the U.S., stressing its determination to push back against what it says are unfair trade practices ahead of crucial talks to revamp the tri-nation North American Free Trade Agreement.
U.S., Canadian and Mexican officials meet this month for the sixth and penultimate round of talks to update NAFTA, which U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened to abandon unless major changes are made.
The talks start on Jan. 23, just weeks after Canada launched a wide-ranging complaint against the U.S. at the World Trade Organization, potentially complicating NAFTA negotiations. The complaint challenges Washington’s use of anti-dumping and anti-subsidy duties.
“Our American colleagues… understand when you stand strong,” Trade Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne told reporters. “You get respect when people see you are firm.”
Canada has so far largely shunned confrontation with Washington, stressing instead the merits of NAFTA and free trade as Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau makes efforts to forge closer ties with Trump.
But Trump’s more isolationist approach has put strains on the bilateral trading relationship between the two countries, the second largest of its kind in the world.
Canada is riled about duties on lumber and planemaker Bombardier, which is based in the politically important province of Quebec, where Trudeau’s Liberals are looking to build up support.
“Strategically, standing up to the Americans plays well at home,” said Toronto trade lawyer Mark Warner.
“The Canadians are getting tougher… they’ve been more aggressive in their response, in their threats, than perhaps people have realized,” he said in a phone interview.
Canadian cabinet ministers have been fanning out across the U.S. for 18 months, spreading an upbeat message about the benefits of trade.
But when Public Safety Minister Ralph Goodale went to Kentucky last week, he gave a speech in which he warned the Americans against “tanking the whole relationship.”
Canadian government sources told Reuters on Wednesday they were increasingly convinced the U.S. plans to announce it intends to pull out of NAFTA, sending markets lower.
On Thursday, though, Trump told the Wall Street Journal he would be “a little bit flexible” on his threat to withdraw from NAFTA because Mexico is facing a presidential election this year.
Stuck in neutral
Canadian companies and industries that would be most acutely impacted by the pact’s demise are largely stuck in neutral given the uncertainty of what might replace it, analysts and executives have said.
Canada and Mexico are unhappy about U.S. demands to establish rules of origin for NAFTA goods that would set minimum levels of U.S. content for autos, a sunset clause that would terminate the deal if it is not renegotiated every five years and ending the so-called Chapter 19 dispute mechanism.
Canadian foreign minister Chrystia Freeland said on Thursday the U.S. threat to quit NAFTA has to be taken seriously. Still, she said it was “absolutely possible to have a positive outcome” in Montreal if all three sides showed good will.
“When it comes to the more unconventional U.S. proposals, we have been doing some creative thinking,” she said.
“We have some new ideas,” she added. One person familiar with government thinking said some of the ideas related to auto content.
Laura Dawson, director of the Washington-based Woodrow Wilson International Center’s Canada Institute, said there were sharp limits to Ottawa’s influence.
“There’s nothing that Canada could do, short of setting fire to the White House again, that would change the trajectory of whatever it is that Donald Trump is going to do,” she said in reference to the War of 1812.
— David Ljunggren is Reuters’ political correspondent based in Ottawa.