One Canada Square (tower at centre) houses the London head office of the International Grains Council. (Iliffd/iStock/Getty Images)

Grains council tweaks numbers in latest supply and demand data

MarketsFarm — The International Grains Council (IGC) released its monthly supply and demand report Thursday, projecting a six million-tonne increase in total global grain production at 2.289 billion tonnes in 2021-22. That change consisted of a seven million-tonne increase in global corn production, offset by a one million-tonne decrease in world wheat output. Soybean production […] Read more

The fundamentals for corn and soybeans will remain historically tight for the 2021-22 crop year so the markets are very sensitive to production estimates such as the one recently released by Statistics Canada.

Statistics Canada yield estimates useful for market predictions

Hurricane Ida, good Canada and U.S. soybean crops factor into projections

Statistics Canada released its first yield and production estimate on Aug. 30.  Satellite technology was used to model crop yields as of July 30 and the actual harvested area was based on historical averages. Winter wheat production came in at 2.6 million tonnes, which is the largest crop since 2016. Corn output could reach a […] Read more

(Vonkara1/E+/Getty Images)

Interview: Counting crops in advance

Reviewing the latest from StatsCan and USDA

Statistics Canada on Tuesday released new model-based estimates for the country’s principal field crops, projecting “substantial” yield declines for most of the major crops grown in Canada, due mainly to drought conditions across much of Western Canada during much of the growing season. The previous Friday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture released its latest world […] Read more

ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola remains rangebound

Trade predicts even smaller production

MarketsFarm — At least for the foreseeable future, ICE Futures canola is likely to remain rangebound, according to analyst David Derwin of PI Financial in Winnipeg. The November canola contract has support at $850 per tonne and when it bumps up to around $900 it’s quickly pulled back, he said. “Sideways is not very exciting, […] Read more

CBOT December 2021 wheat (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, orange and dark green lines). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Wheat firms on global supply cuts

Corn inches higher as U.S. crop ratings decline

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago wheat futures firmed two per cent on Tuesday, strengthened by global supply concerns amid strong demand, while a weaker U.S. dollar supported U.S. trade. Corn inched higher after a weekly decline in U.S crop conditions reported by the U.S. Agriculture Department (USDA). Soybeans traded both sides of even before easing […] Read more


File photo of a pea crop south of Ethelton, Sask. on Aug. 1, 2019. (Dave Bedard photo)

Pulse weekly outlook: Small Canadian crops lead to marketing shift

MarketsFarm — Canadian pulse markets could see a ‘radical shift’ in the current crop year as drought conditions led to sharp reductions in pea and lentil production. Statistics Canada’s September principal field crop estimates, released Tuesday, and the previous report on Aug. 30 were determined by yield models using satellite imagery. MarketsFarm Pro analyst Mike […] Read more

A soybean crop at Headingley, Man. on Sept. 2, 2021. StatsCan’s latest estimates project drought-hit Manitoba’s soybean production to drop by 22.2 per cent from 2021, while Canada’s soybean harvest overall is expected down 7.4 per cent on the year. (Dave Bedard photo)

Prairie crops downgraded in latest StatsCan estimates

Corn, soybean crops upsized from previous report

MarketsFarm — Drought conditions across Canada’s Prairies cut into yields throughout the region in 2021, with production of most of the major crops downgraded by Statistics Canada in updated crop estimates released Tuesday. Using satellite imagery, the government agency now sees total canola production for the 2021-22 crop year at 12.78 million tonnes, which compares […] Read more

(Photo courtesy Canola Council of Canada)

Canada’s canola production likely to be cut further

MarketsFarm — Barely two weeks after Statistics Canada projected 2021-22 canola production to come in around 14.7 million tonnes, the U.S. Department of Agriculture forecast the Canadian oilseed crop to be about 14 million tonnes. Now, a few days after USDA’s supply and demand estimates, Statistics Canada is already set to update its Aug. 30 […] Read more


(Alfio Manciagli/iStock/Getty Images)

Canola ending stocks down on year, but beat expectations

StatsCan pegs barley ending stocks at record low

MarketsFarm — Canadian canola ending stocks were down sharply at the end of 2020-21 compared to the previous marketing year, but still came out well ahead of trade expectations. Many other crops also saw larger-than-expected carryout numbers in Statistics Canada’s principal field crop stocks report as of July 31, 2021, released Wednesday. According to MarketsFarm […] Read more