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Feedlot Operators Anticipate Lower Feeder Cattle Supplies in Spring For the week ending February 22, Western Canadian feeder cattle markets traded steady to $5 higher on average compared to seven days earlier. Positive feeding margins along with improving weather enhanced demand from Alberta and Ontario feedlot operators. Many feedlot operators have shrugged off the tariff threat and are carrying on business as normal. Auction market scouts, who are sourcing for cattle, report that many cow calf producers sold cattle earlier in December or January. It appears that there will be a sharp drop in available numbers in Western Canada during March and April. This sentiment appears to have spurred on larger operations to secure ownership of feeder cattle in the short-term At the Lloydminster sale, larger frame lower flesh Simmental based steers weighing 950 pounds sold for $363. South of Edmonton, larger frame mixed steers on barley and corn silage ration with full processing records averaging 903 pounds traded for $370. North of Calgary, Limousin mixed heifers carrying lighter butter averaging 910 pounds supposedly traded for $335. At the St Rose Auction in Manitoba, medium to larger frame red steers evaluated at 800 pounds notched the board at $395. At the same sale, larger frame black heifers on the card at 809 pounds were valued at $357. The Prince Alberta auction market report had black steers weighing 742 pounds trading for $400. In Central Alberta, a smaller string of 705-pounds Angus blended steers on light barley and silage diet with full processing data were last bid at $432. In Southern Alberta, red Simmental based heifers averaging a hair over 700 pounds reportedly moved at $374. The Lloydminster Auction Market Report had black mixed steers evaluated at 604 pounds selling for $486. In central Saskatchewan, run-of-the-mill mixed heifers scaled at 610 pounds apparently sold for $408. In Manitoba, Simmental cross steers weighing a hair over 600 pounds were quoted at $479. In central Alberta, pre-conditioned Charolais heifers weighing 625 pounds on hay and silage diet were valued at $433. The Prince Albert Market Report had 500-pound black steers selling for $560. In southern Alberta, Charolais based steers averaging 510 pounds were quoted at $570. In Manitoba, a smaller package of Charolais heifers weighing 505 pounds reportedly sold for $469. U.S. feedlot placements during January were 1.822 million head, up 2% or 31,000 head from the January 2024 figure of 1.791 million. In the U.S., we’re seeing a build-up of market-ready fed cattle supplies. The opposite is occurring in Western Canada. Market-ready fed cattle supplies in Alberta and Saskatchewan are extremely tight. The function of the Western Canadian feeder cattle market is to ration demand by trading at a premium to U.S. values. It appears that there will be a sharp drop in available numbers in Western Canada during March and April. This sentiment appears to have spurred on larger operations to secure ownership of feeder cattle in the short-term.

For the week ending February 15, Western Canadian feeder cattle markets traded steady to five dollars higher on average compared to seven days earlier. The market has recovered after the recent stretch of adverse weather and the U.S. tariff threat in early February.

For the week ending February 8, the Western Canadian feeder cattle market was hard to define. Prices were softer earlier in the week but were creeping higher by Friday.

For the week ending January 25, Western Canadian feeder cattle markets traded $$3-$6/cwt on either side of unchanged compared to seven days earlier. Higher quality genetics and lower flesh replacements were slightly firmer; however, feedlot operators incorporated the appropriate discounts on fleshier types and lower efficiency, smaller frame animals.

There was a surge in farmer selling across Western Canada last week. Sales volumes were larger than normal at many auction barns.  The fear that President Trump would implement a tariff on feeder cattle ignited fears that that market would drop sharply.  

For the week ending January 11, Western Canadian feeder cattle prices were up $15-$20/cwt compared to the week ending December 21, 2024. In eastern Saskatchewan and Manitoba, quality packages of steers 800 pounds and over traded $20/cwt to $25/cwt higher compared to three weeks earlier. 

The Alberta fed cattle market was quoted on a live basis in the range of range of $262-$265/cwt fob feedlot last week. Fed cattle forward contracts for March and April delivery (Alberta) were quoted from $270 to $272/cwt.  Compared to last week of November 2024, fed prices are up $20/cwt on average.

For the week ending December 28, there were no feeder cattle sales in Western Canada; however, that didn’t stop cattle producers from emailing or calling me over the holidays inquiring about market direction. I thought it would be an opportune time to discuss a couple factors that will influence the market direction over the next couple of months.

For the week ending December 21, Western Canadian backgrounded cattle and heavier calves were unchanged to $5 lower on average. Calves in the 600-800 pound range were relatively unchanged while calves under 600 pounds were steady to $10 higher.