Klassen: Softer demand causes feeder prices to weaken

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Published: November 19, 2018

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Photo: Canada Beef Inc.

Compared to last week, Alberta feeder cattle markets traded $4 to as much as $8 lower; however, Manitoba and Saskatchewan prices experienced a week-over-week decline of $3 to $5 on average. Demand from Eastern Canada appeared to limit slippage in the eastern Prairie regions but some of these markets also faltered late in the week.

U.S. feeder cattle markets were also traded $3 to $6 below week-ago levels, despite the stronger feeder cattle futures late in the week.

Buyers focused on quality and health features. Calves that were fed some silage and grain also carried a premium over those feeders coming into the ring on only grass and hay. A large variance was noted on similar-weight cattle based on diet and vaccination.

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In central Alberta, mixed steers weighing 690 lbs. fed only hay were quoted at $191; in southern Alberta, mixed steers weighing 700 lbs. that were fed some silage and a little grain were valued at $202.

In Manitoba, mixed steers with no vaccination averaging 550 lbs. were quoted at $220; in southern Alberta, calves had to have some features including vaccination to bring that kind of price. A small group of medium-flesh vaccinated Charolais steers averaging 540 lbs. were valued at $218.

Feedlots were still willing to pay up for heavier calves in some cases; prices for 800-plus-lb. cattle were relatively flat across the Prairies. The market for higher quality 800- to 825-lb. steers traded from $188 to $194.

Alberta packers were buying fed cattle in the range of $148-$149. Feeding margins are hovering negative territory, resulting in a defensive tone for replacements. Backgrounding operators are also struggling to pencil a profitable margin with calf prices at the current levels.

The U.S. southern Plains has received normal to above normal precipitation this fall. During March 2019, there’ll be a sharp year-over year increase of yearling numbers coming off small grain pasture, which has resulted in lower prices for calves this fall.

— Jerry Klassen manages the Canadian office of Swiss-based grain trader GAP SA Grains and Produits Ltd. and is president and founder of Resilient Capital, specializing in proprietary commodity futures trading and market analysis. Jerry consults with feedlots on risk management and writes a weekly cattle market commentary. He can be reached at 204-504-8339.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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