Klassen: Feeder market stabilizes on U.S. inventory data

Reading Time: 2 minutes

Published: February 5, 2018

,

(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Compared to last week, western Canadian feeder cattle prices were relatively unchanged but there was a wide variation across the Prairies.

Major markets in Alberta traded steady to as much as $5 higher, while Saskatchewan and Manitoba prices were quoted $3 higher to as much as $5 lower. Major finishing operations in Alberta focused on local cattle due to extremely cold temperatures. Buyers were hesitant to ship cattle farther distances and these cattle will need extra work and time to adjust to new surroundings. Early backgrounded yearlings are coming on stream and the sharp eye was quick to discount fleshier-looking replacements. Pushing these calves too hard over the winter can have serious price consequences. Ontario feedlots have backed away for the time being, resulting in a vacuum of demand, and feeder cattle exports have dropped down to a trickle.

Read Also

Close up on the Chicago Board of Trade clock on the front of the building.

U.S. grains: Soy futures set 15-month high after China agrees to purchases

U.S. soybean futures reached a 15-month high on Thursday after President Donald Trump’s administration said top-importer China agreed to buy tens of millions of tons of American crops in the next few years as part of a trade truce.

A smaller group of medium-frame tan steers weighing just over 850 lbs. were quoted at $177 in east-central Saskatchewan; smaller, fleshier groups were trading below average levels as buyers picked away to build up a load. Similar-weight and -quality steers were quoted from $180 to $183 in central Alberta. Mid-weight categories appeared to hold value. Medium- to larger-frame steers with medium-flesh smoky steers averaging 750 lbs. were quoted at $187 in southern Alberta.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s cattle inventory report was considered constructive for the feeder market, with noticeable buying interest surfacing on calves and grassers. The number of feeder cattle outside of feedlots as of Jan. 1 was slightly below year-ago levels despite the year-over-year increase in the U.S. calf crop. Strength in the deferred feeder cattle futures late last week quickly spilled over into Western Canada. In central Alberta, mixed red steers averaging 550 lbs. were quoted at $237 while 500-lb. similar-quality bawlers were as high as $255.

Rising interest rates, along with a major selloff in the stock market, have painted all commodities with the same brush for the time being. There’s a positive sentiment from a fundamental perspective; however, buyers tend to lack confidence when financial markets experience severe volatility.

— Jerry Klassen manages the Canadian office of Swiss-based grain trader GAP SA Grains and Produits Ltd. and is president and founder of Resilient Capital, specializing in proprietary commodity futures trading and market analysis. Jerry consults with feedlots on risk management and writes a weekly cattle market commentary. He can be reached at 204-504-8339.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

explore

Stories from our other publications