Klassen: Feeder market remains volatile

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Published: April 23, 2019

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CME April 2020 live cattle with 20- and 50-day moving averages. (Barchart)

Compared to last week, western Canadian feeder cattle markets traded $3-$5 on either side of unchanged. Many auction barns were closed last week and the ones holding sales had smaller numbers. Quality packages of yearlings were on the higher end of the range while smaller groups of fleshier replacements were discounted.

Alberta feedlots were focusing on local cattle this week, which took some of the steam out of the market in the non-major feeding areas. If buyers knew where the cattle came from, they had more confidence. At this time of year, backgrounded cattle can appear quite hard, as if they’ve been fed too much grain in the critical growing stage. Therefore, feedlots were incorporating discounts on cattle that to an untrained eye would appear unnecessary. These days, there are no bragging rights on margins and pencils are getting sharper and sharper. After last week’s firm tone, the market felt like a vacuum at times with limited buyers.

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In central Alberta, Angus-blended mixed steers with medium to heavier flesh weighing just under 950 lbs. sold for $165; a small group of similar-quality heifers weighing 925 lbs. were quoted at $145. In central Saskatchewan, there were some thinner cattle available. A smaller group of lower-flesh larger-frame mixed steers weighing 875 lbs. were valued at $172.

There was limited slippage in calf values. Demand from finishing feedlots was evident across the Prairies. Buyers are looking at securing yearling numbers for the August and September timeframe. Secondly, feed barley is expected to trade sub-$190 per tonne come the harvest period and with April 2020 live cattle futures hovering at $127, feedlots have room to bid up the feeder market.

In southern Alberta, larger-frame Charolais mixed steers weighing 525 lbs. were quoted at $249 while mixed heifers averaging 510 lbs. were valued at $219. In central Saskatchewan, the market was also quite firm with tan mixed steers weighing 615 lbs. moving at $220; a small group of Hereford-blended heifers averaging just over 615 lbs. reached up to $198.

Much of Western Canada has received less than 40 per cent of normal precipitation over the past 60 days. No farmer or feedlot is going to complain about dryness after our neighbours south of the border have suffered one storm after another; however, if these drier conditions prevail for another 30 days, this is going to be a problem.

— Jerry Klassen manages the Canadian office of Swiss-based grain trader GAP SA Grains and Produits Ltd. and is president and founder of Resilient Capital, specializing in proprietary commodity futures trading and market analysis. Jerry consults with feedlots on risk management and writes a weekly cattle market commentary. He can be reached at 204-504-8339.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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