Klassen: Feeder market finds support

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Published: May 20, 2019

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(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Compared to last week, western Canadian yearling markets traded steady to $2 lower while calves traded $3 higher to as much as $8 lower. Adverse weather across much of the U.S. Midwest set a negative tone on both sides of the border. U.S. feeder cattle markets were down US$3-$6 from seven days earlier.

Corn futures appear to be incorporating a risk premium due to uncertainty in production. Weather forecasts call for significant rainfall over the next seven days. Feedlots are hesitant to bid up on feeders because they don’t know where these feed grain prices will be, come new crop.

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Alberta packers were buying fed cattle on a dressed basis in the range of $253-$255 delivered, down from week-ago levels which ranged from $258 to $263. On a live basis, fed prices were quoted at $152-$153, about $8 below breakeven pen closeouts.

In southern Alberta, a larger group of medium-frame Hereford mixed steers with medium to heavier butter levels weighing just over 900 lbs. sold for $176; black steers weighing 847 lbs. were quoted at $183. In central Alberta, Simmental mixed steers weighing 740 lbs. were valued at $197 while larger-frame Angus-blended heifers averaging 760 lbs. were quoted at $165.

Lighter calves were quite variable depending on the region. Volumes under 700 lbs. were limited and major feedlots were the main buyers. Ideas are that yearling supplies will be tighter than expected come fall and larger operations wanted to secure numbers for the earlier winter fed cattle market. The feeder market is always anticipating the fed cattle situation five to seven months forward and we all know how quickly the market can change.

In southwestern Manitoba, tan steers averaging 515 lbs. were quoted at $228; a mixed group of black heifers weighing just over 550 lbs. were quoted at $195. In central Alberta, medium- to larger-frame Angus-based steers weighing 645 lbs. were valued at $221 while medium-frame heifers weighing 645 lbs. were quoted at $191.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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