Klassen: Feeder cattle prices stabilize

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Published: May 7, 2012

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Western Canadian feeder cattle prices appear to have stabilized for the time being. Auction market volumes are declining in line with the seasonal tendency and demand is sufficient to sustain the current price structure.

Fed cattle prices were down as much as $3 per hundredweight (cwt), which continues to weigh on the feeder complex. Alberta packers were buying cattle in the range of $107-$109/cwt.

Barley prices were up another $5 per tonne, touching $260 delivered southern Alberta.

Further deterioration in feedlot margins has tempered buying interest for replacement cattle. Pen conditions are quite poor with the recent rains and feedlot operators don’t want to bring in cattle under the current weather environment.

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A small group of exotic steers weighing 640 pounds sold for $156/cwt, landed southern Alberta feedlot. A medium-flesh group of Simmental steers averaging 755 lbs. sold for $143/cwt. Steers in the weight range of 900-1,000 pounds averaged $125, landed southern Alberta.

Choice wholesale beef prices reached up to $190/cwt, the highest level since early March. Packing margins have improved and the weekly slaughter pace should pick up over the next couple weeks. Feedlots on both sides of the border should become more current with production. However, beef supplies will also increase and limit further upside in wholesale prices. Retail beef prices have softened but retail movement has not improved.

U.S. consumer spending increased has increased by a meagre 0.3 per cent due to limited disposable income. People save money or pay off bills after periods of heavier spending, which has tempered beef demand.

Look for feeder prices to consolidate but there may be further weakness if fed prices continue to grind lower.

— Jerry Klassen is a commodity market analyst in Winnipeg and maintains an interest in the family feedlot in southern Alberta. He writes an in-depth biweekly commentary, Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, for feedlot operators in Canada. He can be reached by email at [email protected] for questions or comments.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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