Klassen: Feeder cattle market under pressure

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Published: April 2, 2012

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Western Canadian feeder cattle prices were $1-$3 per hundredweight lower last week due to softer fed cattle prices and stronger barley values. Feedlot buying interest has eased, with higher break-even costs in the deferred months.

Lacklustre demand was noted for grass cattle despite an improvement in pasture conditions across most of the Prairies.

Feeder steers in the range of 650 to 700 pounds averaged $157/cwt in east-central Alberta. Angus-cross age-verified steers averaging 785 lbs. with no special features sold for $145/cwt landed in southern Alberta feedlot. Heavier shortkeep replacement cattle, weight-controlled backgrounded exotic steers with medium flesh averaging 870 lbs., sold for $130/cwt in the same region.

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Chicago Board of Trade corn futures extended slight gains on Tuesday as short covering and bargain buying continued to support a rebound from contract lows reached during the previous session.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s stocks and acreage report on Friday was bearish for North American feeder cattle prices. Corn stocks were down eight per cent from last year and 2012 corn acres were projected at 95.9 million, up from 91.9 million last year.

Given the tighter stocks at the end of the 2011-12 crop year, favourable growing conditions are needed or the fundamentals will remain snug throughout 2012-13. World coarse grain stocks will remain under the five-year average next year, keeping prices well supported. Barley made fresh 52-week highs, reaching $235 per tonne delivered Alberta feedlot alley for April position.

Wholesale beef prices continue to grind lower as consumers back away at the higher price levels. Packing margins remain under pressure and the short week before Easter is usually a soft period in the cattle complex.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Markets Analyst

Jerry Klassen is president and founder of Resilient Capital, specializing in proprietary commodity futures trading and market analysis. Jerry consults with feedlots on risk management and writes a weekly cattle market commentary. He can be reached at 204-504-8339 or via his website at ResilCapital.com.

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