Klassen: Feeder cattle market grinds lower

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Published: June 23, 2020

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(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Compared to last week, western Canadian feeder cattle prices were steady to $4 lower on average. Small packages were available and buyers were picking away with subdued interest.

There were some “green” strings of yearlings in Alberta and Saskatchewan which were well bid; however, most cattle were characterized by medium to smaller frames. Some of these yearlings appeared to be rather “hard.” These cattle were fed too much grain relative to the frame size. The cost per pound gain will be higher on these cattle in the finishing lot so buyers discounted accordingly.

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Calves on offer were mostly mixed varieties with no outstanding genetics or features to enhance buying interest. Therefore, uniform groups of calves carried a premium.

Major feedlot operations are carrying larger volumes of market-ready supplies. Lower margins are on the horizon so buyers were the defensive. Demand from south of the border has been non-existent. U.S. feeder cattle prices were $3-$5 lower last week despite the steady futures board. Most auction barns in Manitoba and Saskatchewan are in summer holiday mode.

In central Alberta, mixed steers with medium to lower flesh levels averaging 975 lbs. were valued at $168. Medium- to larger-frame black Angus-based heifers with medium to lower flesh weighing 880 lbs. were valued at $163. North of Calgary, Simmental-blended steers weighing 830 lbs. were valued at $187. In southern Alberta, medium-frame red heifers with medium to lower flesh averaging just over 800 lbs. were quoted at $174. A small group of Charolais-based greener steers weighing 745 lbs. were valued at $2020 in the Lethbridge area.

In central Saskatchewan, mixed steers weighing 675 lbs. were quoted at $206 and mixed heifers weighing 690 lbs. were valued at $187. In east-central Alberta, tan steers weighing just under 550 lbs. were reported at $236 and black heifers weighing 510 lvs. were valued at $208. Mixed medium-frame steers with no special features weighing around 600 lbs. were quoted at $219 in the Lethbridge area.

Alberta packers were buying fed cattle in the range of $128-$130 f.o.b. the feedlot, down from last week’s range of $135-$138. Breakeven fed cattle pen closeout values for June are in the range of $155-$160; for July and August, breakeven closeout prices are in the range of $150-$153. Feedlots are in a phase of negative margins for a prolonged period of time.

— Jerry Klassen manages the Canadian office of Swiss-based grain trader GAP SA Grains and Produits Ltd. and is president and founder of Resilient Capital, specializing in proprietary commodity futures trading and market analysis. Jerry consults with feedlots on risk management and writes a weekly cattle market commentary. He can be reached at 204-504-8339 or via his website at ResilCapital.com.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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