Klassen: Feeder cattle jump on positive outlook

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Published: November 22, 2016

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(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Average prices for steer and heifer calves jumped $8-$10 this past week with some buyers reporting values as much as $15 above week-ago levels. Feedlot operators could feel it in their bones earlier in November and there were no strings attached on orders flowing across the Prairies. Favourable weather reinforced the narrow premium of weaned calves over unweaned. The forecast for colder snowy conditions further spurred on the “just get’ em now” orders. Average Alberta fed cattle prices reached $140, the highest level since mid-August.  Feeding margins are now near break-even pen closeouts and feedlots can finally pencil a profit, which hasn’t occurred for about 15 months.

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Mixed unweaned steers averaging 500 lbs. were readily trading from $190 to $193 in Alberta and Saskatchewan with larger-frame batches reaching $197. Mixed heifers of similar weight actively traded from $168 to as high as $175 in Alberta, with Saskatchewan and Manitoba values averaging about $5 less. Larger-frame semi-weaned steers averaging 600 lbs. were quoted $192 landed in southern Alberta but similar-quality cattle were commonly quoted from $188 to $194 in southern Saskatchewan and Manitoba. Yearlings were not the focus this week, given the limited volumes, so price gains were not as defined in the heaver weight categories. Small batches of higher-quality larger-frame steers averaging 850 to 900 lbs. were trading from $160 to $168.

Coming events can cast their shadows beforehand and Friday’s Cattle on Feed report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture was considered friendly for the market. October placements came in below expectations at 95 per cent of year-ago levels while Nov. 1 on-feed numbers were down one per cent. U.S. feeder cattle markets were trading $8-$12 above week-ago levels and the weaker Canadian dollar enhanced interest from south of the border, especially in Manitoba.

Jerry Klassen is manager of the Canadian office for Swiss-based grain trader GAP SA Grains and Produits. He is also president and founder of Resilient Capital, which specializes in proprietary commodity futures trading and commodity market analysis. Jerry owns farmland in Manitoba and Saskatchewan but grew up on a mixed farm/feedlot operation in southern Alberta, which keeps him close to the grassroots level of grain and cattle production. Jerry is a graduate of the University of Alberta. He can be reached at 204-504-8339.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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