Klassen: Feeder cattle hold value

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Published: March 22, 2011

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Western Canadian feeder cattle markets were $1 to $2 higher despite the weaker tone in other commodity markets. Fed cattle were steady to $1 lower causing feedlot buying interest to remain strong throughout the week. Healthy feeding margins along with weakness in the corn market appeared to override the Japanese demand uncertainty.

In central Alberta, feeder steers just over 500 pounds brought back $158 per hundredweight; 620-lb. steers were selling for $147; 850-lb. replacement steers were quoted at $117-$122.

U.S. values at the Oklahoma City auction market were 42 cents to $3 higher for all weight categories. CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) feeder cattle futures came under pressure after the Japanese earthquake but it appears beef exports to Japan are continuing as usual.

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Speculative funds were liquidating long positions in the futures but the effect on the cash market has been minimal. Notice the October feeder cattle futures are carrying a $1-$2/cwt premium over the May contract. This reflects that we should see steady to slightly higher values through the summer for all replacement cattle.

Wholesale beef prices continue to climb higher supporting the cattle complex. I mentioned in earlier issues that retail prices are expected to climb another 10 per cent over the next three to five months and it will be important to see how the consumer reacts to the higher price structure.

U.S. eating and drinking establishment place sales reached a record high of $40.5 billion in February. At the same time, U.S. private sector jobs increased by 222,000, the strongest gain in 10 months. Incomes are increasing across the U.S. demographics and consumers appear to feel confident spending money, especially on food and restaurant purchases.

— Jerry Klassen is a commodity market analyst in Winnipeg and maintains an interest in the family feedlot in southern Alberta. He writes an in-depth biweekly commentary, Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, for feedlot operators in Canada. He can be reached by email at [email protected] or at 204-287-8268 for questions or comments.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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