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Prairie forecast: Very mild west, slowly warming east

Forecast issued March 5, covering March 5 to 12, 2025

As we ease into what can be the stormiest and snowiest time of the year on the Prairies, the big question is—are we going to see a late winter snowstorm? Well, I can say that we won’t. What I can say is the odds are low in this forecast period.

Damage is seen from a rain-wrapped tornado at Cole, Okla., just south of Oklahoma City, on April 19, 2023, in a screengrab from a social media video. (Photo: Hans Duran video screengrab via Reuters)

Spring weather to dominate first half of March

Large parts of Argentina, Brazil to be dry

Be it the Canadian Prairies or the United States Midwest, spring-like weather is on its way for the first couple of weeks of March, said Drew Lerner, president and chief agricultural meteorologist for World Weather Inc. in Overland, Kan. Meanwhile, the dryness that has dominated parts of Argentina and Brazil is likely to continue for the next several weeks.


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Prairie forecast: Cold snap coming to an end

Forecast issued February 19, covering Feb. 19 to 26, 2025

For this forecast period, as predicted a week ago, we're finally going to see an end to this long cold snap. The polar vortex is weakening and is forecasted to move off to the east. This will allow for a strong push of mild Pacific air to flood across the Prairies. It should bring temperatures above freezing to Alberta beginning early in the forecast period. Near to above freezing temperatures should move into Saskatchewan and Manitoba over the weekend.

Photo: Alexis Stockford

Prairie forecast: Cold high pressure to dominate

Forecast issued February 12, covering Feb. 12 to 19, 2025

Unfortunately, it looks like the cold weather will stick around for at least this forecast period. Maybe a little bit longer. There are some signs of this pattern breaking down near the end of the month, so let’s keep our fingers crossed.


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Prairie forecast: Midwinter cold settles in

Forecast issued February 5, covering Feb. 5 to Feb. 12, 2025

We start this forecast period off with plenty of cold air in place, which is a 180-degree change from a week ago. Saskatchewan and Manitoba will also have to deal with a disturbance on Wednesday and Thursday that may bring upwards of 15 cm of fluffy snow.

Photo: Geralyn Wichers

Prairie forecast: Weekend low to bring snow to swaths of the Prairies

Forecast issued January 29, covering Jan. 29 to Feb. 5, 2025

We start this forecast period off with plenty of warm air in place across much of the Prairies. We continue to see areas of low pressure dropping southeastward from the western territories into northwestern Ontario with high pressure still in place across the northwestern U.S. and southwestern Canada.

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Prairie forecast: Warm west, cooler east

This forecast period starts with the last of the bitterly cold air departing Manitoba thanks to a weak area of low pressure that moved through on Wednesday. This low, combined with an area of high pressure building over the northwestern U.S., helped to pull mild air in off the Pacific and push it eastwards across the Prairies.


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Prairie forecast: Mild start replaced by Arctic high pressure

Forecast issued January 15, covering Jan. 15 to 22, 2025

We start this forecast period with an area of low-pressure sliding southeastwards through the southern Northwest Territories and into northern Manitoba. This low is pulling mild air northwards, which means a continuation of mild temperatures in Alberta, while Saskatchewan and Manitoba are seeing a rapid rebound from the cold start to the week.