MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts fell hard to end the month of May, dropping to levels not seen in more than two years. While the oversold market may be due for a correction, there could also still be more room to the downside. “It’s hard to have a real solid opinion of whether we’ll […] Read more
Tag Archives mike jubinville
ICE weekly outlook: Hard to know where canola will go
'Could easily make a case either way'
Pulse weekly outlook: Harvest shortcomings could open doors to India
MarketsFarm — As India’s pulse harvest continues, indications have been that initial projections might not be met — which could lead the world’s largest producer and consumer of pulses to allow more imports, MarketsFarm Pro analyst Mike Jubinville says. The Indian government expected about 11.5 million tonnes of chickpeas, but the harvest might bring in […] Read more
StatsCan’s projected canola area on low side of expectations
Wheat acres expected lower, barley up
MarketsFarm — As the market grapples with new planting projections from Statistics Canada, one thing was abundantly clear to MarketsFarm Pro analyst Mike Jubinville: this canola forecast isn’t enough to rectify tight ending stocks. In StatsCan’s survey-based principal field crop areas report, released Tuesday, the federal agency pegged canola acres for 2021-22 at 21.53 million, […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola’s uptrend still intact
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts climbed to fresh highs during the week ended Wednesday, with no end to the uptrend in sight from a fundamental standpoint. “We are in the middle of a demand-pull market… and the market has not yet done what it needs to do to accomplish the task of curtailing demand,” […] Read more
Attention turns to yield potential after StatsCan report
Future tweaks to acreage numbers seen as unlikely to sway markets
MarketsFarm — Updated acreage estimates from Statistics Canada came largely within market expectations, with the focus now shifting to growing conditions and yield potential. The survey was completed in early June “and may not have captured all of the seeding delays and potential shifts that may have happened in central/northern Alberta and northwestern Saskatchewan because […] Read more
Adjustments likely ahead for StatsCan’s early acreage estimates
Projections still in line with grain trade's expectations
MarketsFarm — The results of the first acreage estimates for 2020 from Statistics Canada come with an asterisk, as the COVID-19 pandemic halted data collection early. Canada’s actual seeded area is expected to see some shifts from the projections released Thursday. “As a result of the timing of the COVID-19 pandemic, these estimates were produced […] Read more
CBOT weekly outlook: Soy, corn wait for next big thing
MarketsFarm — Soybean and corn futures at the Chicago Board of Trade have recovered off of nearby lows, but remain rangebound overall waiting for fresh news to push values one way or the other. The U.S. Department of Agriculture holds its Agriculture Outlook Forum on Feb. 20-21. USDA’s first acreage and supply/demand estimates for the […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola off highs, rangebound
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts tested long-time chart resistance during the week ended Wednesday, but failed to break higher and retreated to hold rangebound overall. The Phase One trade deal signed Wednesday between the U.S. and China failed to give the grain and oilseed markets a boost, as the vague details of the actual […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola breaks out of week-long funk
MarketsFarm — It’s unclear yet what effect Thursday’s satellite field crop estimates from Statistics Canada will have on markets. Canola broke out of a six-day funk Wednesday, trending just slightly higher for the first time since Wednesday last week. Technical biases remain to the downside, as prices hover around contract lows. “There are a lot […] Read more
StatsCan sees corn, soy crops down on the year
Too wet and too hot and dry at different parts of the seasons have hurt the crops
Poor spring planting conditions followed by hot and dry July weather likely hurt soybean and corn yields in eastern Canada this year, resulting in smaller crops, according to Statistics Canada’s production of principal field crops report, released Wednesday. Nationally, the Canadian soybean crop is forecast at 6.2 million tonnes, which would be down by one […] Read more
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