ICE canola futures are starting to look oversold after falling contract lows during the week ended Wednesday. While a short-term technical correction is possible, the underlying fundamentals remain bearish. “Canola might be a little bit short-term oversold,” said Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg. Signs that exports were perking up could also be supportive, […] Read more
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ICE weekly outlook: Oversold canola still fundamentally bearish
ICE weekly outlook: Canola grinding lower
ICE Futures canola contracts held relatively steady during the week ended Wednesday, with a softer tone in old-crop contracts and strength in new-crop months. The general trend is likely pointed lower in the near future, with any developments in trade talks between the U.S. and China likely to provide some direction. “The market is awaiting […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola at mercy of U.S. soy
CNS Canada — The ICE canola market is currently at the mercy of the soybean market as it awaits this week’s G20 meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump. “We’ve got the big pop in the soybeans in anticipation of some positive developments at this weekend’s G20 meetings… we are getting […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola seen dropping further still
CNS Canada — As global oilseed overproduction and a trade war rages on between the U.S. and China, producers should get used to lower canola prices, according to one analyst. “For the last two years (we’ve been) moving in a $480-$530 type of range. My best guess is that when we get into 2019, (without […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Pressure builds on canola as yield outlooks vary
CNS Canada — ICE’s November canola futures look poised to continue chopping around between the $490-$500 per tonne mark, as uncertainty over yields in Western Canada sows seeds of doubt throughout the trade. “Yields that have been coming in suggest the crop will be bigger than the (Statistics Canada) estimate,” said Ken Ball of PI […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola watching soy ahead of harvest
CNS Canada — ICE Futures canola contracts held relatively rangebound during the week ended Wednesday, although the looming harvest and weakness in CBOT soybeans could weigh on values going forward. The November canola contract held above the psychological $500 per tonne level during the week, which should be providing decent opportunities for hedging, said commodities […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola seeks rain amid market turmoil
CNS Canada — The ICE Futures Canada canola market faces a slew of uncertainty as political turmoil in international trade markets and a looming report from Statistics Canada keeps traders guessing where the market is headed. “The craziness of the White House is the main focus. How will it affect the markets?” said Keith Ferley […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola facing uncertainty
CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola contracts fell to their lowest levels in more than three months during the week ended Wednesday, but could still have more room to the downside given the general sense of global trade uncertainty. “Every commodity trader in North America or globally is scared to death right now,” said […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola braces for turbulence
CNS Canada — The ICE Futures Canada canola market could go on a choppy ride this summer as weather challenges and the topsy-turvy world of international trade battles threaten to fill the next few months with volatility. “Particularly in the summer months, Trump issues and weather issues will be the primary drivers; both are hard […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Seasonals to weigh on canola
CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola contracts ran into some major resistance over the past week before turning lower, with more downside possible as seasonal trends should weigh on values. “Seasonally speaking, we’re in the neighborhood where canola makes the turn down,” said Mike Jubinville of ProFarmer Canada, noting canola typically sees some softness […] Read more
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