Heat and drought conditions this growing season have forced canola to develop early.
 Photo: Greg Berg

ICE weekly outlook: Something of a tough week for canola

MarketsFarm – It was a bit of a tough week for canola on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), although there was something of a bright spot after the release of the August supply and demand estimates from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). As one trader put it, canola did its job by increasing in […] Read more



ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 10-, 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, green, purple and black lines). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: $1,000 canola not a guarantee

MarketsFarm — Any idea of canola hitting $1,000 per tonne in the near future is not the sure thing some people may have thought it was, according to Errol Anderson, an analyst with ProMarket Communications in Calgary. “New-crop futures might take a run at $1,000 per tonne, but in the same breath the November contract […] Read more



ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, green and black lines). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Expensive canola required

MarketsFarm — Canada’s coming canola harvest, if lower than projected, would add tremendous pressure to prices as supplies could become much tighter than they have, according to trader Ken Ball with PI Financial in Winnipeg. Ball believes the 2021-22 canola harvest could be as low as 16 million to 17 million tonnes, well below the […] Read more

ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger (20,2) bands. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Volatility to come for canola market

'Tighten up your seatbelt'

MarketsFarm — Record-breaking temperatures in British Columbia, lingering extreme heat in the Prairie provinces and little to no precipitation have strengthened an ongoing rally in the ICE Futures canola market. One trader, however, warns that canola contracts may be in for a mercurial few weeks. “We’re clearly in a weather market that is extremely volatile,” […] Read more

ICE July 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-day movjng average (green line), ICE November 2021 canola (yellow line) and CBOT July 2021 soybeans (black line, left column). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Weather, carryout support canola

MarketsFarm — As higher-than-normal temperatures become almost a weekly occurrence in Western Canada amidst tightening carryout stocks, canola seems primed for another extended rally. Despite rains in Western Canada over the past three weeks, providing some relief for canola crops and triggering fund liquidation on the markets, carryout remains very low, with warmer temperatures exacerbating […] Read more


ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger (20,2) bands. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Weather, soy complex weaken canola

MarketsFarm — Wet weather on the Prairies and U.S. northern Plains has brought downward pressure on ICE Futures canola prices, taking the market off the contract highs hit in early June. Losses in palm oil and soyoil were also bearish. While precipitation, or the potential of it falling over canola-growing areas in Western Canada and […] Read more

ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2) and July 2021 canola (yellow open/high/low/close). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola market pits weather against supplies

MarketsFarm — As dry conditions remained prevalent across the Canadian Prairies and U.S. northern Plains, despite recent precipitation, the markets were in a struggle between the weather and tightening supplies, according to Winnipeg analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain. So far for the week of June 7, central and northern Alberta received rain, followed by […] Read more