(Dave Bedard photo)

AAFC issues first look at 2023-24

Oats production expected down significantly on year; wheat, canola up

MarketsFarm — Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) has released its first crop projections for 2023-24, forecasting a very notable drop in oats. In AAFC’s January supply and demand estimates, released Friday, it cut oat production to 3.611 million tonnes, down almost 31 per cent compared to 2022-23. The department chopped the carryout for oats by […] Read more

File photo of the facade of the U.S. Department of Agriculture building in Washington, D.C. (Camrocker/iStock/Getty Images)

CBOT weekly outlook: Bullish USDA report lifts grain markets

MarketsFarm — The bulls were off and running Thursday after the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released its monthly supply/demand estimates, which showed underwhelming grain production and ending stock figures for the 2022-23 marketing year. U.S. corn production was estimated at 13.73 billion bushels, 192 million below the lower end of trade expectations despite a […] Read more

File photo of the Rainbow Bridge across the Niagara River between Ontario and New York. (Bloodua/iStock/Getty Images)

Large gap between StatCan, USDA canola estimates

USDA sticks closer to StatCan expectations on wheat

MarketsFarm — There’s a significant difference in the amount of canola grown in Canada during 2022-23, in the estimate from Statistics Canada (StatCan) compared to that from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Earlier in December, StatCan’s survey-based production of principal field crops report pegged this year’s canola harvest at 18.17 million tonnes. That’s a […] Read more

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USDA supply/demand estimates show only minor updates

MarketsFarm — Updated supply-and-demand (WASDE) tables from the U.S. Department of Agriculture included only minimal adjustments to the U.S. and world numbers, with larger revisions likely in the New Year. U.S. soybean and wheat ending stocks projections for the current marketing year were left unchanged, while the corn number was raised slightly. Total U.S. corn […] Read more

ICE January 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Less canola to be exported

Crop expectations from Canada, Australia are factors

MarketsFarm — Any hopes of Canada exporting 9.3 million tonnes of canola during 2022-23 have now been dashed for two reasons. One reason is the latest Statistics Canada production report that cut canola production for the current marketing year. The other is the bumper canola crop Australia is now expected to have this year. StatCan’s […] Read more


Lentils. (Seb_ra/iStock/Getty Images)

Pulse weekly outlook: Smaller-than-expected lentil crop may limit exports

MarketsFarm — Smaller-than-expected Canadian lentil production in 2022-23 could limit the country’s export potential going forward, according to an official with Pulse Canada reacting to the latest production estimates. The report from Statistics Canada (StatCan) released Friday contains the first survey-based production estimates of the 2022-23 marketing year, while previous ones used satellite imagery. Most […] Read more

Photo: File

Australia looking at record wheat, canola crops

Near-record winter crop output expected

MarketsFarm — Australia is forecast to harvest record-large wheat and canola crops in 2022-23, with improved crop prospects in many parts of the country more than offsetting losses in others. That analysis comes from the latest crop report from the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES), released Tuesday. Total production of […] Read more

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Opinions divided ahead of StatCan production report

Agency's previous estimates model-based

MarketsFarm — Ahead of the crop production report from Statistics Canada (StatCan) due out Friday, trade expectations are above and below what the federal agency estimated in September. In August, and in September, StatCan issued production reports based on a satellite model and without any input from farmers filling out surveys. That has caused some […] Read more


One Canada Square (tower at centre) houses the London head office of the International Grains Council. (Iliffd/iStock/Getty Images)

Global wheat production rises, corn drops

IGC sees only slight changes in soy crop

MarketsFarm — The International Grains Council (IGC) in London raised its estimate of total world grain production for 2022-23 from its August report, with most of the increases coming in wheat. Overall, the IGC projected total production to reach 2.256 billion tonnes, adding eight million from last month. Most of that came from higher harvest […] Read more

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Production, ending stocks down for U.S. corn, soybeans

Worldwide soy, corn stocks also revised lower

MarketsFarm — Projected cuts to soybean production and yields in the United States exceeded many analysts’ expectations, but the monthly U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) estimates for corn were mostly in line with pre-report expectations. USDA released its monthly world agriculture supply and demand estimates (WASDE) on Monday, which showed downward revisions for average yield […] Read more