ICE March 2023 canola with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola trading window lowered

A crude oil downturn would pressure canola, loonie

MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market posted steady losses for five sessions, testing the lower edge of their well-established trading ranges before finally uncovering some support on Wednesday. The losses did damage from a chart perspective, with the activity bumping the trading window lower, according to an analyst. “Overall, both on old- and new-crop, […] Read more

(Dave Bedard photo)

AAFC issues first look at 2023-24

Oats production expected down significantly on year; wheat, canola up

MarketsFarm — Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) has released its first crop projections for 2023-24, forecasting a very notable drop in oats. In AAFC’s January supply and demand estimates, released Friday, it cut oat production to 3.611 million tonnes, down almost 31 per cent compared to 2022-23. The department chopped the carryout for oats by […] Read more

ICE March 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola’s steady week takes late turn

Outlook 'neutral to bearish'

MarketsFarm — While canola prices turned lower Wednesday, the week ending that day was full of rangebound trade activity with little movement. The March canola contract traded within a range of $832-$846.70 per tonne during the week, settling at the low end of the range after falling $5.20 on Wednesday to close at $832.70/tonne. Winnipeg-based […] Read more

(File photo by Dave Bedard)

Fund traders flip back to short side on canola

Corn traders reduce net long position

MarketsFarm — After briefly holding a net long position to start the New Year, speculators were back holding a net short position in canola in the second week of January as they liquidated long positions and put on some new bearish bets. The latest Commitments of Traders (CoT) report compiled by the U.S. Commodity Futures […] Read more

ICE March 2023 canola with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola likely rangebound until spring

MarketsFarm — Unless something very dramatic were to happen in the coming weeks, canola futures on the ICE Futures platform will remain rangebound at least until spring, according to David Derwin, analyst with PI Financial in Winnipeg. “Canola has been very rangebound for the last six to seven months,” he said, noting downward fluctuations during […] Read more


(Dave Bedard photo)

Fund traders back on the long side in canola

Net long also extended in CBOT corn, soy

MarketsFarm — Speculators in ICE canola moved back to a net long position in the futures to start the New Year, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The net managed money long position in ICE Futures canola came in at 6,805 contracts on Jan. […] Read more

(Dave Bedard photo)

SaskCanola, SaskFlax merge offices, management

Groups will maintain separate governing boards, levies

Sasskatchewan’s canola and flax development commissions are consolidating their management, staff and office space under one roof. SaskCanola and SaskFlax said Wednesday their new “management collaboration” will translate to efficiencies for both commissions with “a full staff complement to support both boards.” Both organizations will now operate out of the current SaskCanola office at Innovation […] Read more

ICE March 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Sideways canola market watching macros

USDA report may offer nearby direction

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts remain stuck in a sideways trading range to start the New Year, with bearish outside forces countered by relatively supportive fundamentals. From a chart standpoint, March canola is stuck in a sideways range between $800 and $900, with little to suggest a break one way or the other for […] Read more


ICE March 2023 canola with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Markets rangebound into the New Year

ICE canola plays catch-up on CBOT gains

MarketsFarm — As 2022 comes to an end, a trader stated the commodities market will very likely remain rangebound through the New Year. Ken Ball, of PI Financial in Winnipeg, said there’s heavy spreading, as well as the maneuvering of year-end positions and plenty of liquidation going on at the moment, “all trapped in a […] Read more

ICE March 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly: Canola regains strength after days of declines

MarketsFarm — After a losing string of four straight sessions, the ICE Futures March canola contract regained some strength on Wednesday. Limited and choppy trading in nearby soybean contracts had pulled down canola for most of the week, according to Winnipeg-based independent trader Jerry Klassen. “When the March got up to $868-$870 (per tonne)… there […] Read more