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AAFC raises canola, wheat ending stocks forecasts

Pea, barley carryout estimates raised, lentils cut in half

Glacier FarmMedia – Canadian canola and wheat carryout for the 2023/24 marketing year will likely end up above earlier projections, according to the latest Outlook for Principal Field Crops from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) released Dec. 15.



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China accounting for bulk of Canadian canola exports so far

Chinese wheat imports roughly half of last years' at same time

China has done most of the heavy lifting when it comes to Canadian canola exports through the first three months of the 2023/24 marketing year (Aug/Jul), according to the latest international trade data released Dec. 6. Statistics Canada reported canola exports through October at 1.566 million tonnes, with China accounting for 64 per cent of the total (1.006 million tonnes). Japan and Mexico followed at 273,300 tonnes and 196,900 tonnes respectively.

ICE March 2024 canola as of Dec. 8, 2023, with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola likely to keep sliding back 

With larger crop, trade likely to be overwhelmed by deliveries, analyst says

There is a rather significant bearish outlook for canola for the rest of December, according to Jerry Klassen of Resilient Commodity Analysis. He said a large part of this was generated by the Statistics Canada production report released on Dec. 4. 


Photo: File

Australian crops improve, but well off recent records

Winter crop harvest reportedly progressing quicker, earlier than recent years

Australia’s winter crop production likely beat earlier expectations but will still be down considerably compared to the record-large production in recent years, according to the latest crop report from the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES).