ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-day moving average (green line) and July 2021 canola (yellow open/high/low/close). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Attention turns to new-crop canola

'Somebody's feet will be held to the fire'

MarketsFarm — Wide price swings in the nearby ICE Futures July canola contract over the past few weeks have sent most commercial trade into the new-crop November, with direction in the front month hard to predict given recent volatility. “Where (July canola) finally goes off the board, I have no idea, but I wouldn’t be […] Read more


(Photo courtesy Canola Council of Canada)

U.S. investor to buy Prairie canola ‘streaming’ firm

All-cash deal offers $97.5 million for Input Capital

A U.S. investor has stepped forward with an all-cash bid for the Regina company that brought “streaming” to the Prairie canola marketing business. Input Capital, which in February last year began to review options such as a sale or merger to “enhance shareholder value,” said Wednesday it has a deal to sell all of itself […] Read more

ICE Futures March 2020 canola with 20- and 50-day moving averages. (Barchart)

High stocks-to-use ratio weighs on canola

MarketsFarm — The Canadian canola stocks-to-use ratio was over 20 per cent at the end of 2019 — significantly higher than the five-year average of 13.4 per cent. “That’s part of the reason why we’re seeing downward pressure on canola prices,” Craig Klemmer, chief agriculture economist for Farm Credit Canada (FCC), explained during his presentation […] Read more


ICE Futures March 2020 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola values could fall further

MarketsFarm — Although canola has continued to be rangebound, one analyst believes prices are due for a downward shift toward the low end of the spectrum. “Gravity is going to pull it back down to the low end of the range, and $10-$15 [per tonne] wouldn’t be surprising,” said David Derwin, an analyst with PI […] Read more

Photo: iStock

ICE weekly outlook: Canola bids return to being range-bound

MarketsFarm – Until the New Year expect canola bids to remain range-bound much like it was during the summer, according to one Winnipeg-based analyst. “Canola going C$10 lower isn’t out of the question,” commented David Derwin, commodity portfolio manager with PI Financial. Below normal temperatures on the Prairies coupled with rain and snow have provided […] Read more

ICE November 2019 canola with Bollinger (20,2) bands. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola values stay rangebound

MarketsFarm — One canola trader wouldn’t go so far as to calling the canola market lifeless, but it has remained rangebound for most of the week. That’s mainly due to pressure from harvest activity, which has carried on at an impressive pace on the Canadian Prairies despite being mired with difficult weather conditions. “I’ve talked […] Read more


ICE January 2020 canola (candlesticks) and CBOT January 2020 soybeans (yellow line). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola values stay rangebound

MarketsFarm — Canola prices have been characterized as “firm one day and softer the next,” this week, remaining largely rangebound in light trading activity. “It’s hard to tell why, but canola oscillates between stronger than soybeans and then weaker,” said Ken Ball of P.I. Financial in Winnipeg. “It’s just spreaders playing back and forth with […] Read more

(File photo by Greg Berg)

Input Capital cuts costs as delayed sales lift Q3 profit

A hostile canola export market has left “commodity streaming” firm Input Capital paring back its staff count and halting its sales and marketing efforts. The publicly traded Regina company on Tuesday booked adjusted net income of $1.06 million on $4.95 million in adjusted total revenue for the quarter ending June 30, up from about $249,000 […] Read more