MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts fell hard to end the month of May, dropping to levels not seen in more than two years. While the oversold market may be due for a correction, there could also still be more room to the downside. “It’s hard to have a real solid opinion of whether we’ll […] Read more
Tag Archives canola markets — page 3
ICE weekly outlook: Hard to know where canola will go
'Could easily make a case either way'
ICE weekly outlook: Rising canola market runs into resistance
Resistance seen around $835, support around $820
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts moved higher during the week ended Wednesday, but ran into some resistance to the upside as values held rangebound overall. “Technicals, short-covering, fund buying and a lack of selling,” were all providing support during the week along with spillover from advances in Chicago soyoil, according to Jamie Wilton of […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Seasonal upturn possible for canola
'Good underlying support' seen in futures
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts may soon be due for a seasonal turn higher as harvest pressure subsides and prices should be looking very attractive to end users. However, uncertain outside influences will still dictate the overall direction. “The field certainly gets muddied by issues of geopolitics,” said MarketsFarm analyst Mike Jubinville, pointing to […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Time gap too large in StatCan report
Canola's potential yields shrank in meantime
MarketsFarm — There has been about a one-month gap in between Statistics Canada having gathered its data for next week’s principal crops report and actually releasing the report. That’s something trader Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg finds irksome. “They’re using computer models of some kind. You would think they could get this out […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola market awaits harvests, USDA
MarketsFarm — Canola contracts on the ICE Futures platform drifted lower during the week ended Wednesday, although the market remains stuck in a sideways trading pattern overall as participants try to get a better handle on the size of this year’s crop. An upcoming supply/demand report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture also has the […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola rangebound, awaits report
New StatsCan data due out Monday
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts saw some choppy activity during the week ended Wednesday, hitting their lowest levels in nearly a month before recovering back toward the upper end of their wide sideways range. A new production report from Statistics Canada, due out Monday (Aug. 30), could set the stage for a break one […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola remains expensive
MarketsFarm — Concerns over the likelihood of a much smaller canola crop than previously anticipated, coupled with a very tight supply situation, continued to underpin values this week. That price rationing in turn has kept canola more expensive than other edible oils, according to trader Keith Ferley of RBC Dominion Securities in Winnipeg. “The market […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: For canola, the only certainty is volatility
"The market has to feel comfortable there’s a crop on the way"
MarketsFarm — After starting this week with losses, canola bounced back with back-to-back gains, raising prices by more than $20 per tonne for old-crop after falling back $4-$5 on Monday. Errol Anderson, an analyst with ProMarket Communications in Calgary, emphasized there will be a good amount of volatility in the markets, with wide swings possible […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: USDA reports could spur record canola acres
MarketsFarm — After May and July canola contracts took hefty hits over the past the week, they skyrocketed to close out the calendar month following a pair of reports from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). The department on Wednesday issued its first survey-based prospective planting report for 2021, which called for increased acres for […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: March canola contract not quite out of game
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures’ March canola contract doesn’t have too much to do with the price of the Canadian oilseed directly now but still can influence prices in coming days, according to Keith Ferley of RBC Dominion Securities in Winnipeg. Open interest in the March contract was around 15,000 as of Feb. 17. Ferley noted […] Read more
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