Photo: File

Fund position flips to net long in canola

The last time the market was showing a net long position was the first week of January

MarketsFarm – The managed money position in canola flipped from a net short to a net long for the first time in six months during the week ended July 18, as fund traders covered short positions and put on new bullish bets, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the United States Commodity […] Read more


ICE July 2023 canola with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Weather to influence canola price movement

Short-covering seen supporting front months for now

MarketsFarm — Canola contracts on the ICE Futures platform held relatively rangebound during the week ended Wednesday, trading within a $20 per tonne range in most months as market participants wait to get a better handle on new-crop prospects. “There’s some concern developing on seeding delays,” said Jamie Wilton of RJ O’Brien in Winnipeg, adding […] Read more

ICE May 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Rising canola market runs into resistance

Resistance seen around $835, support around $820

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts moved higher during the week ended Wednesday, but ran into some resistance to the upside as values held rangebound overall. “Technicals, short-covering, fund buying and a lack of selling,” were all providing support during the week along with spillover from advances in Chicago soyoil, according to Jamie Wilton of […] Read more

ICE March 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola trade’s focus on South America

Canola still entrenched in $800-$900 range

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts held relatively rangebound during the week ended Wednesday, looking for some direction to push values one way or the other. “We’re just watching South American weather now,” said Jaimie Wilton, commodities futures specialist with RJ O’Brien in Winnipeg, pointing to the drought in Argentina and the relatively favourable conditions […] Read more


ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Seasonal upturn possible for canola

'Good underlying support' seen in futures

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts may soon be due for a seasonal turn higher as harvest pressure subsides and prices should be looking very attractive to end users. However, uncertain outside influences will still dictate the overall direction. “The field certainly gets muddied by issues of geopolitics,” said MarketsFarm analyst Mike Jubinville, pointing to […] Read more

ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2) and 100-day moving average (green line). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Time gap too large in StatCan report

Canola's potential yields shrank in meantime

MarketsFarm — There has been about a one-month gap in between Statistics Canada having gathered its data for next week’s principal crops report and actually releasing the report. That’s something trader Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg finds irksome. “They’re using computer models of some kind. You would think they could get this out […] Read more



ICE May 2022 canola (candlesticks) with 20- and 50-day moving averages (yellow and dark green lines). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola finding plenty of support

MarketsFarm — ICE canola futures climbed to fresh contract highs during the week ended Wednesday, as activity in outside markets and canola’s own tight supply situation provided support. “Outside forces help it, but there are also things unique to the canola market that are supportive,” said David Derwin, commodities investment advisor with PI Financial in […] Read more

ICE March 2022 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola futures still well supported

MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market was showing signs of running into resistance to the upside during the week ended Wednesday, as speculators booked profits on some of their large long positions. The general uptrend, however, remains intact despite the minor correction. While bouts of consolidation were not unexpected, “the trends are still upward […] Read more