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Speculative short position hits new record in canola

Soybeans hit largest net short position since March 2020

Speculators were back adding to their large net short position in canola to start 2024, taking the bearish bet to a new record, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).


Photo: Greg Berg

ICE weekly outlook: No reason for strong rally in canola 

Canola likely to pull back once trading gets back into full swing in New Year

There were strong gains for canola on the Intercontinental Exchange on Dec. 27, as trading resumed after being closed for Christmas and Boxing Day. However, the gain will likely not be the prelude to a major upswing in the oilseed’s prices. Rather, canola is likely to pull back once trading gets back into full swing after the New Year, according to analyst Bruce Burnett of MarketsFarm.

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Speculative net short position in canola hits new record

CBOT long liquidation saw the net long position in soybeans dip

The net short position in canola futures climbed to a new record large level in mid-December, as speculators added to their bearish bets for the second week in a row, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).



ICE March 2024 canola as of Dec. 8, 2023, with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola likely to keep sliding back 

With larger crop, trade likely to be overwhelmed by deliveries, analyst says

There is a rather significant bearish outlook for canola for the rest of December, according to Jerry Klassen of Resilient Commodity Analysis. He said a large part of this was generated by the Statistics Canada production report released on Dec. 4. 


ICE January 2024 canola with 20-day moving average (yellow line, right column) and CBOT January 2024 soybeans (green line, left column). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Soy complex supporting canola

'Canola has been largely pulled up'

MarketsFarm — Amid falling crude oil prices, canola prices are staying strong, largely due to the Chicago soy complex, according to a Calgary analyst. Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications has been impressed with canola’s recent rise. The January contract on ICE Futures was as low at $672 per tonne on Nov. 2 before rising to […] Read more


ICE November 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola futures looking for bottom

Crushing pace remains aggressive

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts fell to their lowest levels in three and a half months during the week ended Wednesday, taking some direction from Chicago soyoil as harvest activity winds down across the Prairies. Losses in other markets, including Malaysian palm oil and European rapeseed futures, added to the declines in canola. “Everybody […] Read more

“Pods can look dramatically different, either riper or less ripe, than the actual seeds, so we need to be cracking open those pods and looking at the seeds.”
 Photo: Greg Berg

ICE weekly outlook: Canola following soyoil’s lead

Stat Can's principal field crop estimates will be released on Aug. 29, may affect prices

MarketsFarm – The November canola contract rose above the C$800 per tonne mark for the first time in nearly a month during the week ended Aug. 23. However, it wasn’t without some turbulence over the last two days of trading. On Aug. 22, the November contract lost C$13.40 per tonne to close at $796.00, before […] Read more