U.S. grains: Grain, soy futures keep dipping on weather, govt reports

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Published: April 9, 2024

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Chicago | Reuters—Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) wheat, soy and corn futures fell for a second straight day on Tuesday, weighed down by sustained competition abroad and improving U.S. planting weather on the horizon, analysts said.

Traders adjusted their positions ahead of Wednesday’s U.S. inflation data and Thursday’s release of U.S. Department of Agriculture’s monthly supply and demand report and Brazilian agency Conab’s monthly national crop forecasts.

Most-active CBOT May wheat Wv1 futures settled down 8 cents at $5.57-3/4 a bushel. CBOT soybeans Sv1 closed 7 cents lower at $11.74-1/2 a bushel, while corn Cv1 settled down 4-1/4 cents at $4.31-1/4 a bushel.

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Detail from the front of the CBOT building in Chicago. (Vito Palmisano/iStock/Getty Images)

U.S. grains: Wheat futures rise on supply snags in top-exporter Russia

U.S. wheat futures closed higher on Thursday on concerns over the limited availability of supplies for export in Russia, analysts said.

Forecasts for more rain in the U.S. Plains next week and drier conditions in the southern Delta area eased fears about weather-related stress to wheat crops and delays to corn planting, traders said.

Meanwhile, U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) crop progress figures released on Monday showed a good/excellent rating for U.S. winter wheat of 56 per cent, despite worries over the impact of past dry weather in the wheat-growing Plains.

That lack of bearish weather news caught the market by surprise and weighed on wheat futures, said Austin Schroeder, a senior commodity analyst at Brugler Marketing.

Commodity analysis firm Argus raising its estimates for Russian wheat production also dragged down wheat futures, analysts said.

“Russia has been flooding the market with cheap wheat so it’s been hard for the U.S. to compete,” said Schroeder.

Going into Wednesday’s session, traders will be watching for signs of fund managers shifting their investments either into – or out of – commodities markets, depending on the hotly anticipated Consumer Price Index report, said Darin Fessler of Lakefront Futures.

Additional reporting for Reuters by Gus Trompiz in Paris and Naveen Thukral in Singapore

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