U.S. grains: Chicago wheat up on Black Sea deal doubts

Cancelled China sales weigh on corn prices

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Published: May 4, 2023

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CBOT July 2023 soft red winter wheat with Bollinger bands (20,2), Minneapolis July 2023 hard red spring wheat (yellow line) and K.C. July 2023 hard red winter wheat (orange line). (Barchart)

Mexico City | Reuters — Chicago wheat hit a one-week high and closed up on Thursday as markets cautiously eye developments on the Black Sea grains corridor following a wave of fresh tensions between Russia and Ukraine.

Corn clawed back some ground lost early in the day to close nearly flat after news of cancelled sales to China weighed on prices. Soybean futures also ended practically even after dropping earlier in the session on expected U.S. planting progress.

The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) gained 5-1/4 cents to settle at $6.45 a bushel, after climbing earlier in the session to its highest level since April 26 at $6.50-3/4 (all figures US$).

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Corn ended 1/2 cent higher at $5.89 a bushel and soybeans settled up 1/4 cent at $14.17-3/4 a bushel.

Technical personnel from Turkey, Russia, Ukraine, and the United Nations will meet on Friday to discuss a deal that allows the exports of Ukrainian grains on the Black Sea, Turkish Defence Minister Hulusi Akar said.

Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said a day earlier thatRussia did not appear to be interested in extending the Black Sea grain deal, but that Kyiv was focused on looking for partners to fulfil the deal and was not looking for Russian interest.

“It will probably go down to the 23rd or 24th hour before a decision is reached,” said Dan Smith, a senior risk manager at U.S. consultancy Top Third Ag Marketing, noting continued market anticipation.

U.S. export sales of corn fell to their lowest weekly total on record, government data showed, as overseas buyers cancelled purchases made earlier in the year. The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported corn export sales were net negative 194,600 tonnes, largely due to cancellations by China.

Wheat and soybean export sales were in line with expectations.

“It’s the lack of exports that we’re seeing going forward,” Smith added.

Markets also had eyes toward USDA’s monthly world agricultural supply and demand estimates (WASDE) coming on May 12, with an expected decrease in exports.

— Reporting for Reuters by Cassandra Garrison in Mexico City and Naveen Thukral in Singapore.

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