U.S. grains: Chicago wheat, corn, soy firm on WASDE report

South America's weather drags on competing exports

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Published: February 8, 2023

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CBOT March 2023 soft red winter wheat with 20-day moving average, MGEX March 2023 hard red spring wheat (yellow line) and K.C. March 2023 hard red winter wheat (orange line). (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago wheat, corn and soybean futures firmed on Wednesday, supported by weather conditions in South America that hamper rival exports, though higher-than-expected U.S. supplies limited gains.

The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) added 15 cents to $7.64-3/4 a bushel (all figures US$).

CBOT soybeans added 4-1/2 cents to end at $15.19-3/4 a bushel, while corn firmed 4-1/2 cents at $6.78-1/2 a bushel.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s increased U.S. corn and soybean ending stocks more than analysts expected, initially pressuring futures.

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“Yes, we lost some ethanol, yes, we saw some soy crush drop, but that was mostly expected,” said Mike Zuzolo, president of Global Commodities Analytics.

USDA also made cuts to its forecast for Argentina’s soybean crop due to drought conditions, though the reduction was less than other private estimates.

“I think everybody believes there’s room for more downward revisions in Argentina,” said Ed Duggan, senior risk management specialist at Top Third Ag Marketing.

South American weather continues to provide optimism in the U.S., as rain in Brazil continues to delay soybean harvest, which competes with the U.S. on the global export stage.

“The longer they wait to get harvested, the longer the Chinese will have to wait to import from Brazil, which is friendly to U.S., and the longer they’ll have to wait to plant that second corn crop,” Duggan said.

Brazil’s food supply and statistics agency Conab on Wednesday cut its forecast for the country’s second corn crop, citing delays to soy harvesting.

Wheat remained underpinned by worries about drought in hard red winter wheat growing areas in the United States, heightened by weather forecasts showing the zones may miss out on ample precipitation expected in other U.S. grain belts.

— Christopher Walljasper reports on agriculture and ag commodities for Reuters from Chicago; additional reporting by Gus Trompiz in Paris and Enrico Dela Cruz in Manila.

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