StatCan revises canola production lower

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Published: September 16, 2024

The latest model-based production estimates from Statistics Canada shows downward revisions in both canola and wheat production from the August report. Photo: Thinkstock

Glacier FarmMedia | MarketsFarm – Hot and dry weather saw crop conditions decline across much of Western Canada over the past month, with the latest model-based production estimates from Statistics Canada showing downward revisions in both canola and wheat production from the August report.

Canadian canola production for 2024-25 (Aug-Jul) was forecast at 18.98 million tonnes in the report released Sept. 16, which compares with the August estimate of 19.50 million tonnes. If realized, that would be down 1.1 per cent on the year, but still well above the five-year average of 18.34 million tonnes.

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Total wheat output was down by only 80,000 tonnes from the August estimate at 34.29 million tones. That marks an increase of 4.1 per cent on the year, with most of the growth coming from durum. Durum production was revised only slightly from August at 6.03 million tonnes, which would be up by nearly two million tonnes from 2023-24.

Harvested barley area is forecast to be down by 14.3 per cent on the year, with the crop down by 14.7 per cent at 7.60 million tonnes. Meanwhile, a 14.6 per cent rise in oats area is expected to more than offset a small decline in average yields resulting in a 14.2 per cent increase in oats production at 3.017 million tonnes. Both grains only saw minor revisions from the August forecast.

Pea production was revised slightly higher from August, while lentils were down slightly. However, production for both pulses is expected to be up from 2023-24, with the pea crop up 21.1 per cent at 3.16 million tonnes and lentils up 44.0 per cent at 2.59 million tonnes.

Soybean production is forecast to be up by 3.1 per cent on the year at 7.20 million tonnes, while corn is projected to be down by 1.6 per cent at 15.17 million tonnes.

About the author

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Editor - Daily News

Phil Franz-Warkentin grew up on an acreage in southern Manitoba and has reported on agriculture for over 20 years. Based in Winnipeg, his writing has appeared in publications across Canada and internationally. Phil is a trusted voice on the Prairie radio waves providing daily futures market updates. In his spare time, Phil enjoys playing music and making art.

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