AAFC lowers canola ending stocks forecast

Reading Time: 2 minutes

Published: December 20, 2019

,

(Dave Bedard photo)

MarketsFarm — Canadian canola ending stocks will be much tighter than earlier thought, according to updated supply/demand tables which were released late Thursday by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada and account for the latest production numbers from Statistics Canada.

AAFC’s projected canola ending stocks for 2019-20 were lowered to 3.5 million tonnes, which compares with the November estimate of 4.7 million and the 2018-19 level of 4.094 million tonnes.

While projected canola exports were lowered slightly, to 9.1 million tonnes from 9.2 million in November, domestic usage was raised to 10.242 million tonnes — an increase of roughly 600,000 tonnes from the previous month.

Total canola production for 2019-20 was lowered to 18.649 million tonnes, which compares with the 20.343 million tonnes grown the previous year.

Total wheat ending stocks for 2019-20 were lowered to 5.85 million tonnes, from the November estimate of six million. That compares with the 2018-19 wheat carryout of 5.916 million tonnes.

— Phil Franz-Warkentin reports for MarketsFarm, a Glacier FarmMedia division specializing in grain and commodity market analysis and reporting.

(AAFC)
December estimates for Canadian major crops’ supply and demand in millions of metric tonnes. (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada)

About the author

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Editor - Daily News

Phil Franz-Warkentin grew up on an acreage in southern Manitoba and has reported on agriculture for over 20 years. Based in Winnipeg, his writing has appeared in publications across Canada and internationally. Phil is a trusted voice on the Prairie radio waves providing daily futures market updates. In his spare time, Phil enjoys playing music and making art.

explore

Stories from our other publications