MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts held relatively rangebound during the week ended Wednesday, looking for some direction to push values one way or the other. “We’re just watching South American weather now,” said Jaimie Wilton, commodities futures specialist with RJ O’Brien in Winnipeg, pointing to the drought in Argentina and the relatively favourable conditions […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola trade’s focus on South America
Canola still entrenched in $800-$900 range
USDA supply/demand estimates show only minor updates
MarketsFarm — Updated supply-and-demand (WASDE) tables from the U.S. Department of Agriculture included only minimal adjustments to the U.S. and world numbers, with larger revisions likely in the New Year. U.S. soybean and wheat ending stocks projections for the current marketing year were left unchanged, while the corn number was raised slightly. Total U.S. corn […] Read more
CBOT weekly outlook: Soy futures find support, but upside limited
Corn activity mainly bearish
MarketsFarm — Solid export demand, a short squeeze by fund traders and production uncertainty in South America have all propped up Chicago soybean futures over the past week, with more gains possible ahead of the year-end before correcting lower, according to an analyst. With the South American harvest still some time away, “you might have […] Read more
Speculative short position grows in canola
Managed money still net long in soybeans
MarketsFarm — Speculators in the ICE Futures canola were busy liquidating long positions and adding to the short side of the market during the last week of November. That’s caused the net short position to grow to its largest level in two months, according to the latest Commitments of Traders (CoT) report compiled by the […] Read more
Prairie cash wheat: Bids drop with U.S. futures
Canadian dollar also down on week
MarketsFarm — Spring wheat bids in Western Canada moved lower during the week ended Thursday, as U.S. wheat futures posted losses — although softness in the Canadian dollar did provide some underlying support. Average Canada Western Red Spring (CWRS, 13.5 per cent protein) wheat prices were down by $3.50-$6.40 per tonne across the Prairies, according […] Read more
StatCan data show smaller Canadian canola, durum production
Report also logs more barley, oats than previous estimates
MarketsFarm — Canadian farmers grew less canola and durum than originally thought in 2022, but more barley and oats, according to updated production estimates from Statistics Canada released Friday. “There were both bullish and bearish surprises,” MarketsFarm Pro analyst Mike Jubinville said. While canola production of 18.174 million tonnes was still up considerably from the […] Read more
Feed weekly outlook: Looming corn imports to keep lid on Prairie barley
MarketsFarm — Large shipments of corn from the U.S., slated for delivery to Alberta’s feedlot alley, should keep domestic barley prices under pressure going forward, according to an analyst. “The barley price here will gradually decline,” said Errol Anderson of Pro Market Communications in Calgary, adding that up to 30 unit trains of U.S. corn […] Read more
Pulse weekly outlook: Yellow peas under pressure from large volumes
MarketsFarm — Large volumes of yellow peas being delivered into commercial hands have put some pressure on values, although prices remain reasonably solid. Green and maple pea bids are stronger, but movement is more limited in those markets. End users were active buyers of yellow peas in recent months, but many are now filled up […] Read more
Fund position back to net short in canola
MGEX wheat also shifts to net short: CFTC
MarketsFarm — Heavy long-liquidation in ICE Futures canola saw the managed money speculative position flip back to a net short after a brief flirtation with a net long, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The weekly report was delayed one day due to last […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola’s sideways market nears low end of range
January down last six sessions
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts slid lower during the week ended Wednesday but remain stuck in a sideways trading range overall. The January contract has held within a range from $800 to $900 per tonne for the past five months, with the market still well within that range despite losing over $50 per tonne […] Read more
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