MarketsFarm –– Canadian canola carryout supplies for the current marketing year will likely end up tighter than earlier expectations, according to updated supply/demand balance sheets from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) that account for recent production and stocks data from Statistics Canada. Canola ending stocks for 2023-24 are now forecast to tighten to only one […] Read more
Tightening canola stocks projected, AAFC says
Wheat, barley, oat, pea stocks also projected lower
Prairie cash wheat: Harvest pressure, falling U.S. futures weigh on bids
Canadian dollar up on the week
MarketsFarm — Spring wheat bids in Western Canada moved lower during the week ended Thursday, as seasonal harvest pressure and losses in U.S. futures weighed on values. Average Canada Western Red Spring (CWRS, 13.5 per cent protein) wheat prices were down $5.30-$8 per tonne across the Prairies, according to price quotes from a cross-section of […] Read more
Funds flip back to net short in canola
Trade remains net long in soybeans, for now
MarketsFarm — The overall fund position in ICE Futures canola flipped from a net long to a net short during the week ended Tuesday, marking the first net short position in the commodity in just over two months, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As […] Read more
Feed weekly outlook: Harvest pressure, looming corn imports weigh on barley bids
Some yields turn out 'better than expected'
MarketsFarm — Seasonal harvest pressure and expectations for large corn deliveries from the United States should limit any upside potential in feed barley bids in Western Canada for the foreseeable future despite this year’s smaller crop. “We’re getting some better-than-expected yields (in central Alberta), so there is some harvest pressure with guys needing to move […] Read more
Pulse weekly outlook: Canada’s prices well supported given smaller crops
Dispute between Canada, India to be watched closely
MarketsFarm — Canadian pulse production came in well below average in 2023, keeping prices supported for the time being. Total pea production was pegged at 2.27 million tonnes by Statistics Canada on Thursday. That was up slightly from the 2.19 million tonnes forecast in August, but well off the 3.42 million tonnes grown the previous […] Read more
Fund long position drops in canola
Net long in CBOT soybeans also down on week
MarketsFarm — Fund traders have been busy liquidating long positions and putting on new bearish canola bets in early September. The net managed money long position in the ICE Futures market dropping sharply during the week ended Tuesday (Sept. 12), according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Harvest pressure to weigh on canola
StatCan report not expected to cause much stir
MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market posted gains for the first time in more than a week on Wednesday, but damage was done from a chart standpoint with mounting harvest pressure amid relatively favourable Prairie weather conditions likely to weigh on values over the next few weeks. “It’s that time of year,” said Jamie […] Read more
Canada’s canola carryout up on year, wheat down slightly
Barley, oats, peas also up on year
MarketsFarm — Canadian canola ending stocks edged higher in 2022-23, while wheat carryout was slightly lower, according to the latest stocks data from Statistics Canada, released Friday. Barley, oats and peas also saw increases on the year, while lentil supplies tightened. Total wheat stocks as of July 31, at 3.58 million tonnes were down by […] Read more
CBOT weekly outlook: Poor crop ratings keep soy, corn supported
Major changes not expected in next WASDE
MarketsFarm — Hot and dry weather conditions cutting into crop ratings for soybeans and corn in the U.S. could see prices for both crops rise above nearby chart resistance levels, although the looming harvest may temper the upside potential. Both soybeans and corn were rated 53 per cent good-to-excellent in the latest weekly crop report […] Read more
Pulse weekly outlook: Poor monsoon rains cut into India production
Canadian crops also expected lower
MarketsFarm — Disappointing monsoon rains in India this year are expected to cut into the country’s pulse production, according to reports out of the country. Crop production in India is highly dependent on the monsoon rains that typically soak the country from June through September, but the moisture to date was about nine per cent […] Read more
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