MarketsFarm –– The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) is currently a bear-market, according to broker Scott Capinegro of Barrington Commodity Brokers. “It’s like the markets are saying ‘Show me something, we’ll take anything,’ but the bears are winning,” he said, noting there has been almost no news to drive the market in a bullish manner. […] Read more

CBOT weekly outlook: Bear market aches for bull news

Views differ on crop exports to China other than canola
MarketsFarm — Depending on whom one has spoken with, there are differing views as to grain exports to China other than canola. The federal government has stated there have been no export issues outside of canola. “The current actions taken by China are limited to canola seed, and we have not received any indication of […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: Canola hinges on iffy U.S.-China deal
MarketsFarm — Canola contracts one the ICE Futures platform held within a narrow range during the week ended Wednesday, waiting for a catalyst to push futures one way or the other. To Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications in Calgary, canola’s path is connected to a trade deal between the U.S. and China, which be a […] Read more

Flood concerns ease across Prairies outside southern Manitoba
MarketsFarm — A slower-than-normal spring melt has helped to alleviate most flood concerns across the Prairies, except in southern Manitoba. That part of Manitoba, especially the Red River Valley south of Winnipeg, isn’t out of the woods just yet. Flooding may still reach levels on par with high water levels reached in 2009, according to […] Read more

CBOT weekly outlook: Weather, flooding are main focus
MarketsFarm — This spring’s weather and flooding in the United States have become the main focus for traders at the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), said an analyst. “What kind of planting conditions, how much rain, how much flooding, and how cold things are,” listed Steve Georgy, president of Allendale Inc. at McHenry, Ill. The […] Read more

Rising diesel prices coming
MarketsFarm — Higher diesel prices are on the horizon for Canada and the U.S. in 2019. GasBuddy.com senior petroleum analyst Dan McTeague pointed to an increase in overall demand, combined with a slowdown in heavy oil production and the federal carbon tax as well as pending IMO 2020 regulations — that is, the International Marine […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: China’s canola issues already well known
MarketsFarm — To some who follow commodities markets, it was clear some other participants had overreacted to the news of China banning canola imports from Viterra. Bruce Burnett of MarketsFarm was one of those who saw Canadian exports of canola to China have pretty much dried up since January. That came a few weeks after […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: Little to sustain canola bids in bear market
MarketsFarm — Although there will be some bounces in ICE canola futures, there is very little currently to sustain any increases in bids, according to Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications. While the market has stabilized for the time being, it’s technically oversold, Anderson said. The market can rebound $5-$10 per tonne, he said, but it’s […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: Trade among issues hurting market
MarketsFarm — ICE canola futures are in trouble for a number of reasons, according to Exceed Grain senior marketing analyst Wayne Palmer. “We’re in a lot of trouble unless Trump signs this deal with China,” he said. Reports have stated the U.S. and China will sign a trade agreement at the end of March. U.S. […] Read more

USDA’s latest WASDE lacks ‘market-turning’ news
MarketsFarm — There was nothing in the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s latest world supply and demand estimates (WASDE) report that could have created major moves on commodities markets, according to an analyst. The report, issued Friday, “didn’t give us any kind of a market-turning type news,” said Steve Georgy, president of Allendale Inc. in McHenry, […] Read more