MarketsFarm — With fall soon upon North America, there’s nothing overly unusual with the continuation of La Nina, according to Drew Lerner, president of World Weather Inc. at Overland Park, Kansas. Going into its third year, some people might think this is the third consecutive La Nina — but Lerner said it’s the same one, […] Read more
La Nina set to continue for third year
Other weather patterns may override temporarily
StatCan’s canola call in line with expectations
Agency also boosts wheat projection
MarketsFarm — While Statistics Canada (StatCan) cut its projection for canola production in 2022-23 by 400,000 tonnes, FarmLink Marketing Solutions senior analyst Neil Townsend said the number could go lower. StatCan on Wednesday issued its latest production estimates and lowered its call on canola from the 19.5 million tonnes forecast in its Aug. 29 report […] Read more
CBOT weekly outlook: More acres, smaller yields anticipated in U.S.
MarketsFarm — Ahead of the next supply and demand report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), due out Monday, Allendale Inc. president Steve Georgy said corn and soybean acres are likely to increase, while yields are to decrease. Georgy projected USDA will up its call on U.S. planted corn acres by 200,000 to 400,000, […] Read more
Prairies’ high-pressure ridge should give way by mid-month
Brisk harvest pace expected meanwhile
MarketsFarm — While there’s not one specific cause of the hot September the Canadian Prairies has generally been having so far, Weatherlogics chief scientist Scott Kehler notes one particular shorter-term factor. “There is a fairly strong upper-level ridge of high pressure across the Prairies right now,” he explained, adding it should dissipate by mid-month. The […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Crush margins guiding canola demand
MarketsFarm — Enormous canola crush margins will lead to increased demand for the Canadian oilseed, according to MarketsFarm’s director of markets and weather Bruce Burnett. As of Tuesday, the nearby November-October margins were estimated at $215.51 per tonne, while the same position for November-October 2023 now stands at $124.48/tonne. This time last year their margins […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Time gap too large in StatCan report
Canola's potential yields shrank in meantime
MarketsFarm — There has been about a one-month gap in between Statistics Canada having gathered its data for next week’s principal crops report and actually releasing the report. That’s something trader Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg finds irksome. “They’re using computer models of some kind. You would think they could get this out […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola could take a nosedive
'I think (farmers) are undersold'
MarketsFarm — A huge drop in canola prices could be looming, according to analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain in Winnipeg. Palmer pointed to Prairie farmers and said, “I think they are undersold.” He surmised too many farmers have held off from selling their canola, in hopes of getting a great price the next time […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Upticks during a downturn not unusual
MarketsFarm – As prices fall back, an analyst said it’s very common for there to be occasional spike upwards, and that’s exactly what’s been happening to canola. “We’ve come down a long way and having a bit of a rally wouldn’t be unusual,” commented analyst David Derwin of PI Financial in Winnipeg, Man. “After we […] Read more
CBOT weekly outlook: Keep an eye on the weather
Corn, soy seen trending lower
MarketsFarm — As soybeans and corn trend downward on the Chicago Board of Trade, wheat is poised to climb higher, according to Andrew Mages, analyst with Progressive Ag at Fargo, N.D. The weather outlook has called for scattered showers over the next couple of weeks, which will impact crops in some way, he said. “The […] Read more
Brazil seen adding wheat area, fewer acres in Argentina
MarketsFarm — As farmers in Brazil plant more wheat this year, their counterparts in Argentina are cutting back on the amount of acres they plan to sow — although Argentina will still grow a great deal more wheat than Brazil. Dr. Michael Cordonnier of Soybean and Corn Advisor Inc. at Hinsdale, Ill. said one reason […] Read more
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