Smoke rises from a wildfire southeast of Fort Nelson in northeastern B.C. on May 27, 2023. (Photo: B.C. Wildfire Service/Handout via Reuters)

Prairie Forecast Update: A few small tweaks

Forecast issued May 28, covering the period from May 29 to 31

The weather regime across southern and central Canada is currently being dominated by a large sprawling surface high over eastern regions with a slowly digging trough of low pressure over the West Coast. The flows around these two features have been producing warm summer-like conditions across the eastern Prairies with slightly cooler conditions as you […] Read more

Apple blooms under cloudy skies in Winnipeg on May 24, 2023. (Dave Bedard photo)

NEW FEATURE: Prairie Forecast: Summerlike conditions moving in

Forecast issued May 24, 2023, covering May 24-31, 2023

As we head into the final week of May, it is looking to be very summerlike across much of the Prairies. Currently there is a strong area of cool high pressure centred over the Great Lakes. This area of high pressure is what brought cool and windy conditions to the eastern Prairies on Wednesday. As […] Read more


Smoke rises from the southeast side of a wildfire being tackled by helicopters near Shining Bank, Alta., about 200 km west of Edmonton, on May 19, 2023. (Photo: Alberta Wildfire/Handout via Reuters)

Prairie Forecast Update: A few small tweaks

Update issued May 21, 2023, covering May 21-24, 2023

The weather models are continuing to do a good job with the short- to medium-range forecasts, but there have been a couple of small changes that have been slowly working into the forecast. Weak troughing off the West Coast is still forecasted to kick off the development of a leeside low in Alberta. This low […] Read more

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada’s Drought Monitor map at April 30, 2023. (AAFC)

Prairie Forecast: Above-average temperatures to continue

Covering the period from May 17 to 24, 2023

The upper ridge that has been in place over much of B.C. and Alberta over the last few weeks looks to remain in place, at least for a few more days. There are some indications of a shift in the overall weather pattern towards a warm and wetter setup. As predicted, an area of low […] Read more

Hailstones in Winnipeg on May 10, 2023. (Dave Bedard photo)

Prairie Forecast Update: Forecast on track

Forecast issued May 14, 2023, covering the half-week stretch from May 14 to 17, 2023

The weather models have been remarkably accurate for this time of the year. The big weather picture remains the same. There is a large, persistent ridge of high pressure over far Western Canada with an equally persistent trough of low pressure over Eastern Canada. This means western regions will continue to see sunny, dry and […] Read more


Bezte: Frost Watch for Sept. 14

Sept. 14 — With a strong ridge of warm high pressure holding fast over pretty much all three Prairie provinces, the chances of seeing any frost over the next five to seven days is very small. Northern and extreme eastern regions of Manitoba have a very small chance of seeing some light frost late this […] Read more

Bezte: Frost Watch for Sept. 9

Sept. 9 — There is a chance for light scattered frost across portions of central and northern Alberta along with northern Saskatchewan each night between Wednesday and Friday of this week, as high pressure settles over this region. After this it looks like temperatures will warm up for much of next week as a large […] Read more

Bezte: Frost Watch for Sept. 2

Sept. 2 –– With a summery weather pattern currently stalled out over much of the Prairies, the chance of seeing any frost over the remainder of this week and into the long weekend is extremely remote. The next slight chance for frost will be in Alberta around the middle of next week as cooler air […] Read more


Bezte: Frost Watch for Aug. 28

Aug. 28 — A ridge of high pressure is forecast to build across the Prairie provinces over the next five days. This should bring fairly mild temperatures that should prevent any chances of seeing frost. A strong area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week and push across the Prairies over the […] Read more

Bezte: Frost Watch for Aug. 20

NEW FEATURE: In many areas of the Prairies, the story is the same. It could be a great crop — if it doesn’t freeze, which it’s already done in some parts of Alberta. No one can prevent frost, but a heads-up might be useful. Daniel Bezte is a climatologist and regular columnist for the Manitoba […] Read more