As the turnaround in canola continued, analyst said there are three factors underpinning the swing upward. David Derwin, commodities futures advisor for Ventum Financial in Winnipeg, pointed to the gains made by soyoil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade, the weakening of the Canadian dollar, and the reduction in the canola harvest made by Statistics Canada.
Canola
ICE Canada Weekly: Canola could enter narrow range
Soyoil, loonie, StatCan report among supportive factors
USDA adjusts world, Canadian canola/rapeseed data
Lowers world, Canadian production
The United States Department of Agriculture made a number of revisions to its data for canola/rapeseed in its monthly world oilseed report. On a particular note, the USDA cut its production estimate for Canada, the world's top producer of the oilseed.
China, EU account for upswing in Canadian grain, oilseed exports
Total exports through October up more than 18 per cent
Exports of Canadian oilseeds and grains for 2024/25 largely continued to be ahead of those a year ago, monthly data from the Canadian Grain Commission showed. Bulk exports through licensed facilities during the first three months of the current marketing year are more than 12.22 million tonnes, which compares with the approximately 10.33 million the same time last year.
Bearish speculative bets rise in canola futures
Speculative fund traders were busy putting on fresh bearish bets in early December, taking the net managed money short position back above 100,000 contracts for the first time in two months, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
More wheat, less canola in 2024/25 says Statistics Canada
While Statistics Canada reported more wheat was grown in 2024/25, canola production fell back as the agency issued its principal field crops report on Dec. 5.
Chinese buyers slash Canadian canola imports on fears of anti-dumping duty
Chinese importers are scaling back purchases of Canadian canola with shipments from December likely to plunge as most buyers are reluctant to sign new deals for fear that Beijing could impose retaliatory anti-dumping duties.
ICE canola weekly outlook: Politics driving trade
The ICE Futures canola market climbed off nearby lows over the week ended Dec. 4, although the correction ran into resistance and values remain at the whim of outside forces.
Biden administration will not finalize clean fuel tax credit guidance
Ethanol producers hoping aviation fuel would provide market growth after amid stagnant demand
Biden administration officials will not finalize highly anticipated guidelines on new clean fuel production tax credits aimed at the airline and biofuel industries before they leave in January, three sources told Reuters, casting doubt on the future of a key piece of the U.S. president's climate agenda.
Australia’s canola improves but still lower than 2023/24
Bumps up wheat estimate, trims barley outlook
Of Australia's three largest winter crops for 2024/25, canola production was projected to be down from the previous year. Meanwhile, estimates for wheat and barley output were forecast to be higher than a year ago.
ICE Canada Weekly: Uncertainty weighs on canola
As the Canadian canola industry remained braced for whatever may come from China in regard to tariffs, a sharp blow to the oilseed arose from a much different source. United States President-elect Donald Trump threatened Canada and Mexico with 25 per cent tariffs on their goods imported by the U.S. effective Jan. 20, the day he’s sworn in.
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