As canola futures try to regain the ground lost during the week of March 10, the longer term outlook for the oilseed is very unknown, according to risk advisor and trader John De Pape of The Trading Floor.
Canola

ICE Canada Weekly: Canola approaching uncertainty

Speculators bail out of canola long positions
Tariff uncertainty tied to liquidation
Fund traders were busy liquidating long positions and putting on new bearish bets in canola as tariff uncertainty from both China and the United States weighed on the futures in early March.

China set for canola meal shortage after 100 per cent duty on top supplier Canada
China faces limited availability of meal in other markets, plans to plant more rapeseed
China is likely to face a supply shortage of canola (rapeseed) meal by the third quarter of this year as Beijing's tariffs on shipments from top exporter Canada disrupt trade and as alternative sources are unlikely to make up the deficit.

Alberta farm leader hopes for stronger trade once dust settles
Trade wars are erupting on multiple fronts for Canada, but there is hope that the future will bring steadier times for the agriculture industry when it comes to separating fact from fiction on the international stage.

Canadian canola crush hits record in 2024, but soybeans down
Canola crush up 8.1 per cent, soybeans down 11.6 per cent
Canadian oilseed processors crushed a record 11.37 million tonnes of canola in 2024, reported Statistics Canada. However, the Canadian soybean crush fell by 11.6 per cent in 2024 to 1.56 million tonnes.

ICE Weekly: No end in sight for canola’s downfall
U.S., China tariffs sink canola prices
Tariffs on Canadian canola oil and meal imposed by the United States and China have sunk the futures for the oilseed at the Intercontinental Exchange.

Ontario farmers to plant more corn, less soybeans in 2025: StatCan
Farmers also seeding more peas, corn and oats
Canadian farmers intend to plant more wheat and less canola in 2025, according to the first survey-based estimates for the upcoming growing season from Statistics Canada released March 12. Area seeded to corn, oats and peas is also expected to rise, while soybeans, barley and lentils are forecast to lose acres.

Canada to seed more wheat, less canola in 2025: StatCan
Farmers also seeding more peas, corn and oats
Canadian farmers intend to plant more wheat and less canola in 2025, according to the first survey-based estimates for the upcoming growing season from Statistics Canada released March 12. Area seeded to corn, oats and peas is also expected to rise, while soybeans, barley and lentils are forecast to lose acres.

China tightens trade rules as Canadian tariffs spark price volatility
Zhengzhou Exchange on Tuesday raised the trading margin requirements for some rapeseed (canola) meal futures contracts to 9 per cent from seven per cent after Beijing's 100 per cent tariff on Canadian imports triggered a two-day rally that pushed prices to a five-month high.

Chinese rapeseed meal, oil contracts surge after tariffs on Canadian imports
Zhengzhou rapeseed (canola) meal and oil contracts jumped on Monday, the first day of trade since China decided to impose 100 per cent tariffs on imports of those agricultural products from Canada.